The impact and risk assessment process should ideally follow the approach (12 areas), to include:
- Identification of health-related issues that describes salient points of the internal and external context, specific vulnerabilities and stakeholder perspectives.
- The impact/risk definition that includes:
- A health impact pathway – a cause of potential impact and risk on potentially affected stakeholders related to health determinants and outcomes owing to direct, indirect and cumulative activities of the site/project.
- Effectiveness of existing controls.
- A description of the unwanted event or identification of a priority unwanted event that may result from the anticipated impact.
- The impact evaluation (or impact analysis or assessment) that includes:
- A rating of the social consequence level following the social consequence matrix (see Section 3C) that considers:
- A modified determination of the scale for in relation to the specific impact or risk under evaluation. Several factors need to be considered as part of the definition of scale in the impact evaluation, including:
- The magnitude of the health impact/risk that considers the intensity/severity of the health effect on receptors.
- The temporal scale and duration of an impact/risk that may result in an acute short-lasting or a chronic or long-term consequence. This can include both the duration of exposure to a hazard as well as the potential duration of a potential negative health outcome due to the impact.
- Spatial scale or extent of physical extent of influence of the impact/risk on sensitive receptors. This can include considerations as to whether potential impact is at: i) a localised area or confined to a small number of sensitive receptors (limited to a few individuals, small number of households or small settlement); ii) localised to an area within a site/project or within the – this generally involves a number of communities or potentially affected stakeholders in the immediate area of the site/project; iii) a regional area which generally includes potentially affected stakeholders which may be away from the immediate – often along transport corridors or where potential health impacts can spread beyond the immediate ; and, iv) where health impacts can spread across vast areas (e.g. within a country or even internationally).
- A determination of vulnerability for potentially affected stakeholders, including the ability to adapt to the pre-impact level of health.
- Determine the risk rating by taking the defined consequence level and consider the likelihood of it occurring following the 5x5 matrix. The priority or significance of the risk is defined in the matrix and, importantly:
- Actual impacts/risks (i.e. those currently occurring) should always be classified as 5 in the likelihood column.
- All potential impacts/risks rated as High or Major social consequences are considered Priority Unwanted Events, irrespective of their likelihood.
- Recommended mitigation/management measures/controls to effectively avoid, minimise, mitigate or remediate identified impacts.
- The timing of the impact/risk in the project/site lifecycle and how long it may persist for (e.g. is the impact only expected during construction, or may it extend from construction into operations, or persist into closure?).
Determining the significance level for the scale of a impact is not a straightforward computation of duration of impacts versus numbers of community members affected. Likewise, determining the magnitude of a impact may be open to interpretation. Therefore, the analysis (assessment or evaluation) of each impact should be performed by a competent expert (i.e. a specialist with competencies in public health and HIA– see 4C Tool 5), who gives due regard to a range of relevant evidence and informs a transparent and reasoned conclusion on the significance levels for impacts, including:
- The scientific literature.
- Internal context of the project/site and how these activities may directly or indirectly impact human health.
- The external context that includes:
- the baseline conditions of potentially affected stakeholders
- consultation feedback from potentially affected stakeholders and perspectives of stakeholders
- health priorities in the jurisdiction/
- relevant regulatory standards in the jurisdiction
- policy context in the jurisdiction.
A robust, reasoned conclusion (in the impact evaluation) on the magnitude or significance of a impact, as well as the vulnerability of affected stakeholders to such impacts, should relate the evidence to the specific context of each health issue. The reporting should include a structured narrative that draws together the range of relevant information and dimensions to support the professional judgment taken on the significance level (consequence (scale and vulnerability) x likelihood) of each impact. The Social Consequence Matrix provides a framework to guide this process; however, specialist expertise and knowledge should be used to categorise impact consequence levels.
As relevant and possible, it is recommended that proposed controls or management measures are divided into three management components based on the focus of the intervention:
- Site-impact mitigation: interventions required to manage the potential health impacts/risks on sensitive receptors. These are deemed as required or recommended for the project/site to implement and are not voluntary contributions. The precautionary principle should apply while analysing these options together with practical considerations.
- Occupational health, safety and environmental management: Interventions aimed at ensuring a healthy, safe and productive workforce. In addition, it considers aspects that can be controlled in the workforce to address community health impacts.
- Socio-economic development (SED) initiatives: Interventions suggested that will improve the existing health status of the communities. These are voluntary contributions and should bring about health benefits and improve the social licence to operate in the receptive communities. These recommendations should be integrated into planning aligned to Section 4A, with overlap where possible to impact mitigation. It may be possible that certain management/ mitigation controls can extend further than just reducing a negative effect and create a benefit.